Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Kalshi Deutschland Legal) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 232.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 218.5 | 100% |
| O/U 221.5 | 100% |
| O/U 224.5 | 100% |
| O/U 227.5 | 100% |
| O/U 229.5 | 100% |
| O/U 230.5 | 100% |
| O/U 234.5 | 100% |
| O/U 235.5 | 100% |
| O/U 237.5 | 100% |
| O/U 240.5 | 100% |
| O/U 243.5 | 100% |
| O/U 246.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 233.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 110.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 102.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 115.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 107.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 112.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 120.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 117.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 111.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 101.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 106.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 116.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 121.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 111.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 116.5 | 100% |
| Kings 1H O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 126.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 60.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 62.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers 2H O/U 64.5 | 100% |
| Kings 2H O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| Kings 2H O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| Kings 2H O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 204.5 | 100% |
| O/U 206.5 | 100% |
| O/U 208.5 | 100% |
| O/U 210.5 | 100% |
| O/U 212.5 | 100% |
| O/U 214.5 | 100% |
| O/U 216.5 | 100% |
| O/U 220.5 | 100% |
| O/U 222.5 | 100% |
| O/U 226.5 | 100% |
| O/U 228.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 113.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 103.5 | 100% |
| Kings O/U 105.5 | 100% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 117.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Team to Score First | 0% |
| Odd/Even Score | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Overtime? | 0% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| Race to 20 | 0% |
| Race to 30 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| Trail Blazers 1H O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 130.5 | 0% |
| Kings O/U 122.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Trail Blazers O/U 131.5 | 0% |
| Kings O/U 121.5 | 0% |
| Kings 2H O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| Kings 2H O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Damian Lillard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Deni Avdija: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Donovan Clingan: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Ja Morant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jrue Holiday: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Keegan Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Toumani Camara: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Basierend auf echtem Kapital beträgt die aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit für prognose: trail blazers vs. kings 100%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00PM ET: If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.7M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch ist diese Seite ein Plattform-Status-Snapshot, nicht eine Trading-Empfehlung. Wir listen die regulatorischen Anforderungen jeder Plattform — Polymarket (CFTC-Konflikt seit 2022), Kalshi (CFTC-reguliert, US-only), Betfair (UK-lizensiert, geo-Block in DE), Manifold (Spielgeld, keine Regulierung) — und zeigen die Live-Quote nur dort, wo wir saubere Daten haben.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Auf Polymarket erfolgt die Auflösung on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. Auszahlung in USDC ist sofort und automatisch, ohne KYC. Aus deutscher Steuersicht zählen Gewinne aus Prediction-Märkten typischerweise als sonstige Einkünfte (§ 22 EStG) bei einer Haltedauer unter einem Jahr — Spekulationsfrist anwendbar; konsultieren Sie eine Steuerberatung für Ihren Einzelfall.
Kalshi settelt in USD und meldet automatisch an die IRS — für deutsche Nutzer derzeit ohnehin nicht zugänglich. Betfair settelt nach UK-Recht und ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Manifold ist Spielgeld und löst keine Steuerpflicht aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Ist Polymarket in Deutschland legal?
- Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert — eine eigentliche Nutzung über die Polymarket-Seite ist nicht möglich. Die rechtliche Lage in DE selbst ist Graubereich: keine explizite Erlaubnis, keine explizite Verbote für Prediction-Markets. Kalshi Deutschland Legal hat einen anderen Geo-Footprint.
- Wie werden Gewinne in DE versteuert?
- Aus deutscher Steuersicht typischerweise als sonstige Einkünfte (§ 22 Nr. 3 EStG) bei Haltedauer unter einem Jahr. Über ein Jahr greift möglicherweise die Spekulationsfrist. Wir können keine Steuerberatung leisten — konsultieren Sie eine Steuerberatung für Ihren Einzelfall.
- Kann ich anonym handeln?
- Pseudonym, ja — bis zur KYC-Schwelle. Kalshi Deutschland Legal speichert nicht Ihren Klarnamen, sondern eine Email-Adresse und Wallet-Adressen. Über $1.500 lebenslanges Volumen wird KYC verlangt, dann ist die Identität nicht mehr anonym.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte Glücksspiel?
- Rechtlich unklar in DE. Einige Auslegungen sehen sie als 'Wetten' (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag relevant), andere als 'Termingeschäft' (Wertpapierhandelsgesetz). Bisher gibt es keine Präzedenz-Urteile spezifisch für on-chain Prediction-Markets.
- Gibt es eine Höchstgrenze für Auszahlungen?
- Keine plattform-seitige Höchstgrenze. Sie können beliebig große Beträge auszahlen, vorausgesetzt KYC ist abgeschlossen. SEPA-Bank-Auszahlungen über €15.000 werden zusätzlich für Anti-Money-Laundering geprüft (gesetzliche Pflicht für alle Plattformen).
Jetzt „Prognose: Trail Blazers vs. Kings" auf Kalshi Deutschland Legal handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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