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Prognose: Knicks vs. Celtics

Rechtssichere Übersicht zu „Prognose: Knicks vs. Celtics": Geo-Block-Status der Plattformen, KYC-Schwellen, Steuer-Implikationen.

Spread -2.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% O/U 209.5 100% Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 100% Volumen: $5.2M Schließt: 23 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Knicks vs. Celtics

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
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polygram.ink (preferred broker)
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Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
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Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Position eröffnen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
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Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
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Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 209.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5100%
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5100%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
Race to 20100%
Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5100%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5100%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5100%
Paul George: Points O/U 14.5100%
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5100%
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5100%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5100%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5100%
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5100%
Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5100%
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5100%
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5100%
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5100%
Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5100%
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5100%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 1.5100%
Neemias Queta: Blocks O/U 2.5100%
3Q O/U 54.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q O/U 49.5100%
4Q O/U 52.5100%
Knicks O/U 100.5100%
Celtics O/U 103.5100%
Celtics 2H O/U 52.5100%
Celtics 2H O/U 54.5100%
Celtics 2H O/U 56.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 51.5100%
Knicks 2H O/U 53.5100%
Celtics O/U 102.5100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5100%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 4.5100%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
3Q O/U 53.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Knicks O/U 99.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5100%
O/U 195.5100%
O/U 197.5100%
O/U 199.5100%
O/U 201.5100%
O/U 203.5100%
O/U 205.5100%
O/U 207.5100%
1H O/U 97.5100%
1Q O/U 45.5100%
1Q O/U 47.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q O/U 48.5100%
3Q O/U 50.5100%
3Q O/U 52.5100%
3Q O/U 56.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q O/U 50.5100%
Celtics O/U 100.5100%
Knicks O/U 97.5100%
Knicks O/U 101.5100%
Celtics O/U 104.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 9.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 9.5100%
Paul George: Points O/U 9.5100%
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Knicks vs. Celtics0%
Team to Score First0%
Odd/Even Score0%
O/U 223.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -11.50%
O/U 212.50%
O/U 218.50%
O/U 215.50%
O/U 220.50%
O/U 221.50%
O/U 224.50%
O/U 228.50%
O/U 226.50%
O/U 225.50%
O/U 234.50%
O/U 231.50%
O/U 237.50%
O/U 222.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.50%
Paul George: Points O/U 17.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.50%
Paul George: Assists O/U 3.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.50%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Paul George: Assists O/U 2.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H O/U 115.50%
1H Moneyline0%
Overtime?0%
Race to 100%
Race to 300%
Derrick White: Points O/U 14.50%
Derrick White: Points O/U 19.50%
Derrick White: Points O/U 24.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.50%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.50%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.50%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.50%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.50%
Paul George: Points O/U 19.50%
Paul George: Points O/U 24.50%
Paul George: Points O/U 29.50%
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.50%
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.50%
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.50%
Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.50%
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.50%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.50%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.50%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.50%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.50%
Paul George: Assists O/U 4.50%
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.50%
Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.50%
Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.50%
Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.50%
Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.50%
Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.50%
Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.50%
Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.50%
Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.50%
Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.50%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.50%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.50%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.50%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.50%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.50%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.50%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.50%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.50%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.50%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.50%
Paul George: Steals O/U 2.50%
Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.50%
Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H O/U 107.50%
1H O/U 111.50%
1H O/U 119.50%
1H O/U 123.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q O/U 55.50%
1Q O/U 58.50%
1Q O/U 61.50%
2Q O/U 56.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q O/U 55.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 52.50%
Knicks O/U 105.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 54.50%
Celtics O/U 108.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 54.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 58.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 56.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 56.50%
Knicks O/U 110.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 58.50%
Celtics O/U 113.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 60.50%
Knicks O/U 115.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 60.50%
Celtics O/U 118.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 62.50%
Celtics O/U 123.50%
Knicks O/U 120.50%
Celtics 2H O/U 58.50%
Celtics 2H O/U 60.50%
Knicks 2H O/U 55.50%
Knicks 2H O/U 57.50%
Knicks 2H O/U 59.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 53.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 55.50%
Celtics O/U 107.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 57.50%
Celtics O/U 112.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 59.50%
Celtics O/U 117.50%
Celtics 1H O/U 61.50%
Celtics O/U 122.50%
Andre Drummond: Points O/U 4.50%
Andre Drummond: Points O/U 9.50%
Andre Drummond: Points O/U 14.50%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 9.50%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 14.50%
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
1H O/U 106.50%
1H O/U 110.50%
1H O/U 114.50%
1H O/U 118.50%
1H O/U 122.50%
1Q O/U 54.50%
1Q O/U 57.50%
1Q O/U 60.50%
1H O/U 105.50%
1H O/U 109.50%
1H O/U 113.50%
1H O/U 117.50%
1H O/U 121.50%
2Q O/U 55.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
Knicks O/U 104.50%
Knicks O/U 109.50%
Knicks O/U 114.50%
Knicks O/U 119.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -25.50%
O/U 211.50%
O/U 213.50%
O/U 217.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -19.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H O/U 99.50%
1H O/U 101.50%
1H O/U 103.50%
1H O/U 125.50%
1H O/U 127.50%
1H O/U 129.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q O/U 51.50%
2Q O/U 53.50%
2Q O/U 57.50%
2Q O/U 59.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q O/U 58.50%
3Q O/U 60.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q O/U 54.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 51.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 53.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 55.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 57.50%
Knicks 1H O/U 59.50%
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.50%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.50%

Markt-Kontext

Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Knicks vs. Celtics. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postpo…

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet Spread -2.5 mit 100% bei "Prognose: Knicks vs. Celtics".

Spread -2.5 100% Andere 0%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $5.2M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Diese Übersicht zu Prognose: Knicks vs. Celtics betrachtet die vier vergleichbaren Plattformen aus regulatorischer Perspektive: welche ist in Deutschland zugänglich, wo greift KYC ab welcher Schwelle, wie wird die Plattform vom Wohnsitz-Land klassifiziert. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen den regulatorischen Status, KYC-Schwellen und Settlement-Optionen jeder Plattform für deutsche Trader.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Die Auflösung trennt sich nach regulatorischem Modell. Polymarkets on-chain Pfad ist KYC-frei für lebenslanges Volumen unter $1.500 (Kalshi Deutschland Legal-Schwelle); die Auszahlung erfolgt in USDC innerhalb Minuten. Kalshi und Betfair setzen volle KYC-Verifikation voraus — bei beiden Plattformen sind deutsche Nutzer in der Praxis durch Geo-Block ausgeschlossen.

Häufige Fragen

Brauche ich KYC für Kalshi Deutschland Legal?
Nicht für lebenslanges Trading-Volumen unter $1.500. Über dieser Schwelle wird ein schneller KYC-Prozess ausgelöst — Ausweis, Selfie, ungefähr 5-10 Minuten. Die Schwelle entspricht FATF-Reisestandards für nicht-regulierte Krypto-Plattformen.
Wie werden Gewinne in DE versteuert?
Aus deutscher Steuersicht typischerweise als sonstige Einkünfte (§ 22 Nr. 3 EStG) bei Haltedauer unter einem Jahr. Über ein Jahr greift möglicherweise die Spekulationsfrist. Wir können keine Steuerberatung leisten — konsultieren Sie eine Steuerberatung für Ihren Einzelfall.
Kann ich anonym handeln?
Pseudonym, ja — bis zur KYC-Schwelle. Kalshi Deutschland Legal speichert nicht Ihren Klarnamen, sondern eine Email-Adresse und Wallet-Adressen. Über $1.500 lebenslanges Volumen wird KYC verlangt, dann ist die Identität nicht mehr anonym.
Sind Prediction-Märkte Glücksspiel?
Rechtlich unklar in DE. Einige Auslegungen sehen sie als 'Wetten' (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag relevant), andere als 'Termingeschäft' (Wertpapierhandelsgesetz). Bisher gibt es keine Präzedenz-Urteile spezifisch für on-chain Prediction-Markets.
Was passiert wenn die Regulierung sich ändert?
Bei einer Regulierungsänderung in Ihrer Jurisdiktion (z.B. Verbot von Prediction-Märkten) würde Kalshi Deutschland Legal nicht-mehr-zugängliche Geo-Räume blockieren und Auszahlungen weiterhin abwickeln. Ihre Gelder bleiben jederzeit auszahlbar.
Lena SchmidtLena SchmidtWirtschaftsautorinundAnna BraunAnna BraunFinanzjournalistin

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